“I think it’s really hard to evaluate exactly what we’re going to get moving forward,” manager Joe Girardi said. WAR Tools To make a deep run in the playoffs, the Phillies will benefit greatly from getting the 2018 version of Nola back . The Phillies record now sits at 5-6 and they will look to build off this Braves series moving forward. The 9-game winless streak was put to an end for Aaron Nola as he pitched a gem. as distributed by STATS. Expectations were very high going into the 2019 season, but they were unfortunately not met. Twitter.
Nola did increase his K/9 from 9.5 to 10.2, but his WHIP increased to 1.27 and he went 12-7 with a 3.87 ERA. Accusing juiced balls for Nola’s decreased effectiveness would be easy, but it would be more helpful to look at his data in more depth to find more specific reasons. Guts! 2020 Updated In-Season Projections More A lot of teams might have passed on Nola with the seventh pick because of his radar-gun readings even though he was 23-2 with a 1.52 ERA in his last two seasons with LSU. Trevor Kelley did not fare much better, allowing two hits and picking up one out before Girardi called on Hector Neris. In his last two starts, Aaron Nola has shown why he is the ace of the Philadelphia Phillies and why he may have been undervalued coming into this season. Splits Leaders as distributed by STATS. He allowed one run on three hits and did not issue a walk. With your membership, we can continue to offer the content you've come to rely on and add to our unique baseball coverage. Aaron Nola was excellent Wednesday night, tying his career-high with 12 strikeouts, and weaving his way through the Yankees’ lineup with a powered-up fastball and always signature curveball. 04/24/2017: Philadelphia Phillies placed RHP Aaron Nola on the 10-day disabled list retroactive to … In 2018, Nola had a breakout season. After strike-throwing hiccups (the percentage of pitches he threw in the zone dropped from 53% to 47%) contributed to a 2019 that was relatively pedestrian by his standards, Aaron Nola has come out of the gate red-hot in 2020. “Those were the ones that you try to go out there and get an easy complete game. I know [pitching coach Bryan Price] believes we’re going to get better. The expectation is that Nola’s expected stats from the model will be better than what actually happened. Pinterest. Nola Finally Gets a Win for Phillies. Accusing juiced balls for Nola’s decreased effectiveness would be easy, but it would be more helpful to look at his data in more depth to find more specific reasons.Nola’s four pitch types are a four-seam fastball, a two-seam fastball that could also be called a sinker, a changeup, and a knuckle curve.
The slight increase in velocity Nola had in 2019 could be combined with better luck on hard hit balls and fewer walks to make him an elite pitcher once again.
WPA Tools According to the model, Nola should have had a smaller decrease in swing percentage on the four seam fastball, a significant decrease in swing percentage on the two seam fastball, a slightly smaller decrease in swing percentage on the changeup, and a larger increase in swing percentage on the knuckle curve. I believe they will turn it around. Team Batting Stats The increase in BABIP seen in the tables above seems to indicate that Nola had worse luck in 2019. DFS Projections Girardi lifted Nola after 88 pitches as the Phillies did not want to push the starter too deep in his second start of the season and after a 12-day layoff. One thing that stands out is the low BABIP. The bullpen has allowed 17 runs this season in 16 innings. But the only stat that mattered Wednesday at Citizens Bank Park was that Nola pitched six innings of a 3-1 loss, which left the bullpen responsible for the final three outs of a seven-inning doubleheader. He has won his first two starts with the Phillies and has allowed just three earned runs in his first 13 innings since joining the Phillies last offseason on a five-year, $118 million contract. And we’ll get it done. All UZR (ultimate zone rating) calculations are provided courtesy of Mitchel Lichtman.All Win Expectancy, Leverage Index, Run Expectancy, and Fans Scouting Report data licenced from TangoTiger.com Check out our Reported as the pre-2020 season number of waiver options remaining. You can flag a comment by clicking its flag icon. Positional Depth Charts Aaron Nola was excellent Wednesday night, tying his career-high with 12 strikeouts, and weaving his way through the Yankees’ lineup with a powered-up fastball and always signature curveball. And it was sound reasoning, especially in a season when no lead seems safe and a win -- even when you have an eight-run lead with three outs to go or a starter who strikes out a career-high -- never seems guaranteed. 2020 600 PA / 200 IP Projections Aaron Nola pitched fantastic and his changeup looked borderline unhittable against the respectable bats of the Braves. Google+. Team Batting Stats
Get Phillies analysis in your inbox as the MLB season gets underway. To help analyze where things did not work out for Nola in 2019, some predictive modeling will be used to see how his 2019 numbers compare to what he would be expected to do based on his metrics.
Get Phillies analysis in your inbox as the MLB season gets underway. He just wanted to feel good again. admin - August 13, 2020. In 2019, his hard hit rate with this pitch was about 14% higher, a major increase. Today
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